Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Weekly Price Chart

Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
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Analysis

Fri 10/24/14

Mov Avg-Exponential Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Price is above the moving average so the trend is up.

Additional Analysis: CAUTION: The market trend has changed direction. Now the trend is UP!

Mov Avg 3 lines Indicator:

Note: In evaluating the short term, plot1 represents the fast moving average, and plot2 is the slow moving average. For the longer term analysis, plot2 is the fast moving average and plot3 is the slow moving average

Conventional Interpretation - Short Term: The market is bearish because the fast moving average is below the slow moving average.

Additional Analysis - Short Term: Even though based on conventional interpretation the market is technically bearish, we will not classify it as extremely bearish until the following occurs: price goes below the fast moving average.

Conventional Interpretation - Long Term: The market is bullish because the fast moving average is above the slow moving average.

Additional Analysis - Long Term: Recently the market has been extremely bullish, however currently the market has lost a some of its bullishness due to the following: the fast moving average slope is down from the previous bar, the slow moving average slope is down from the previous bar, price is below the fast moving average, price is below the slow moving average. Its possible that we may see a market pullback here. if so, the pullback might turn out to be a good buying opportunity.

Bollinger Bands Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The Bollinger Bands are indicating an oversold condition. An oversold reading occurs when the close is nearer to the bottom band than the top band.

Additional Analysis: Volatility appears to be picking up a bit, as evidenced by an increasing distance between the upper and lower bands over the last few bars. The market is in oversold territory.

Volatility Indicator: Volatility is trending up based on a 9 bar moving average.

Momentum Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Momentum (142.50) is above zero, indicating an overbought market.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is DOWN. Momentum is in bullish territory.upside move is likely.

Rate of change Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Rate of Change (0.86) is above zero, indicating an overbought market.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is DOWN. Rate of Change is in bullish territory.

Comm Channel Index Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: CCI (-89.29) has crossed back into the neutral region, issuing a signal to liquidate short positions and return to the sidelines. The range from -100.00 to 100.00 indicates a neutral market.

Additional Analysis: CCI often misses the early part of a new move because of the large amount of time spent out of the market in the neutral region. Initiating signals when CCI crosses zero, rather than waiting for CCI to cross out of the neutral region can often help overcome this. Given this interpretation,CCI (-89.29) is bearish, but has begun showing some strength. Begin looking for an attractive point to cover short positions and return to the sidelines.

RSI Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: RSI is in neutral territory. (RSI is at 51.38). This indicator issues buy signals when the RSI line dips below the bottom line into the oversold zone; a sell signal is generated when the RSI rises above the top line into the overbought zone.

Additional Analysis: RSI is somewhat overbought (RSI is at 51.38). However, this by itself isn't a strong enough indication to signal a trade. Look for additional evidence before getting too bearish here.

MACD Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: MACD is in bearish territory, but has not issued a signal here. MACD generates a signal when the FastMA crosses above or below the SlowMA.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is DOWN. MACD is in bearish territory. However, the recent upturn in the MacdMA may indicate a short term rally within the next few bars.

Open Interest Indicator: No open interest value in the database for this bar. Note: Open interest not available for all data types.

Volume Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: No indications for volume.

Additional Analysis: The long term market trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term market trend, based on a 5 bar moving average, is DOWN. Volume is trending lower. In general this is bearish.

Stochastic - Fast Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The SlowK line crossed above the SlowD line; this indicates a buy signal.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend is UP. The short term trend is UP. SlowK was up this bar for the second bar in a row. We may have seen the bottom of the down move for a while. The market looks strong both long term and short term. The SlowK is at (62.82). A good upward move is possible without SlowK being overbought.

Stochastic - Slow Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The stochastic is bearish because the SlowK line is below the SlowD line.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend is UP. The market looks strong both long term and short term. The SlowK is at (52.05). A good upward move is possible without SlowK being overbought.

Swing Index Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The swing index has crossed zero, identifying this bar as a short term pivot point.

Additional Analysis: No additional interpretation.

Important: This commentary is designed solely as a training tool for the understanding of technical analysis of the financial markets. It is not designed to provide any investment or other professional advice.

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